If keeping Toews, Kane and Keith were even THAT easy ...
Written by James O'Brien   
Tuesday, 17 November 2009 00:46

In early 2009, it dawned on me that the Chicago Blackhawks could suffer from some serious salary cap headaches this coming summer. With blogs such as Puck Daddy taking a look at the 'Hawks cap situation, I thought it would be a good idea to revisit some observations that will shed some light (or more accurately, accentuate the horror) on the brutal summer up ahead for the 'Hawks.

thn_kane_toews

In Wyshynski's piece, he mentions that Chicago is on pace to have about $13.5 million in cap space next year. The crux of the article focuses on the challenge of fitting two big names (Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews) along with arguably the Hawks' most stable and promising defenseman (Duncan Keith) into that tough little window.

The crazy thing, though, is that the situation for Chicago is potentially even worse than PD and others thought. Follow the (read more) link to find out why ...

Pundits need to keep in mind that Chicago will need to fill at least a 20 man roster, not just re-sign as many of those three blue chip players as they can. Many Chicago fans and bloggers seem to think that the problem could be solved by moving one or two bloated contracts. The sad fact is that, honestly, the situation will likely resemble a fire sale.

This is what happens when you never bite the bullet and let good (but ultimately replaceable) players go. Instead, the team's middle ranks are clogged by solid guys who shouldn't be making $2 to $3 million per year.

People beat up on Boston for letting Phil Kessel go, but in the long run someone had to go and their mid-to-long term outlook is promising. Just look at the Pittsburgh Penguins; instead of clinging to useful, popular players like Ryan Malone they made the right choice by only giving core young players big contracts.

Take a look at Chicago's outlook at CapGeek.com (click here to see the full page with the cap hits in one spot). Focus your attention on the players who have contracts through the 2010-11 season:

What you'll see is a list of 8 forwards, 4 defensemen and 1 goalie amounting to a payroll of about $43 million. There are a few things you need to remember, then:

  1. The "roughly $13.5 million" figure is based on the salary cap ceiling remaining the same. If the NBA is terrified about its salary cap ceiling plummeting due to a bad economy, it's probably pretty safe to say that NHL GMs should show some concern too.
  2. Don't forget: the goal isn't just to sign Kane and/or Toews and/or Keith. If the Blackhawks roster were to stay the same (which obviously it won't) the team would need to add 6 skaters and 1 goalie simply to hit the 20-player mark. Even if all the remaining contracts are at the league minimum level, that will still knock off at least a million or two.
  3. Let's be honest: no one is going to take Cristobal Huet or Brian Campbell off Chicago's hands so let me repeat this again: it's probably not going to be about which one of the Seabrook-Byfuglien-Sharp-Versteeg-Bolland-etc. group will go but perhaps who will be able to stay.
  4. Now, one positive thing is that the team could move otherwise worthy players to the minors (if they clear waivers). It's pretty sad when you're resorting to those measures (I'm looking at you, Lucky Lou).
For people who read my salary cap posts, a lot of this is redundant but people are overlooking these factors quite frequently. The 'Hawks are in a confounding situation and either heads are going to roll, a star (or two!) will walk or their minor league club will be the wealthiest minor league team in professional sports (excluding the Pittsburgh Pirates).
Then again, maybe I'm wrong. Anyone disagree with these points? What would be your plan if you were Stan Bowman?
Here's some extended reading on this subject from the CLS archives (from most recent to least recent):
 

About Bloguin

Bloguin is the revolutionary blog network specifically focused on helping bloggers get the most out of their websites. We're currently working on building a large network of online communities and hope to expand our blogging coverage to include a wide range of topics.

Advertisers

The Bloguin Network allows advertisers to promote their products and services to our ever-growing number of visitors. We offer both site-specific ad placements as well as the ability to run a network-wide campaign. If you're interested in working with Bloguin to meet your advertising needs, please contact us.

Bloggers Wanted

The Bloguin Network is always looking to expand. We're specifically looking for blogs in the sports, entertainment, and video games field, but are open to adding any type of quality site. If you're a blogger and interested in joining our network, please fill out our application form.

The Bloguin Login

The Bloguin Login gives you full access to everything our network has to offer. Your name and password will work for each and every one of our sites. Signing up is simple, and will allow you to post in all our forums, create member blogs, and access other cool features! What are you waiting for? Create an Account!